The seal is way behind the pulley on the drive sprocket.
1) A properly done belt job will not make the seal leak.
2) I've never had to replace an output seal on a Victory that just "went bad". Usually the bearing is bad and ruins the seal
3) The drive sprocket NEEDS to be cleaned and retorqued every 20K. otherwise it can lead to....
4) I have seen several 2002 models where the main output bearing went bad or walks out of the block. Bad design, bad luck, bad mechanic making the belt too tight? Dunno, but it can happen.
Sooo, me thinks your main output shaft bearing is going bad. If that is the case you're looking at a $1000-2000 repair bill. I only say this because I've seen several over the years - last one was literally 3 weeks ago.......
The Vic Shop, Inc